OPEC sticks to earlier forecasts for global oil demand

October 10, 2013 | Commodities & Oilprice

OPEC Head Office, Vienna

OPEC Head Office, Vienna

Vienna – The OPEC oil cartel on Thursday stuck to its forecasts for global oil demand, projecting a rise of 1.0 percent this year and of 1.2 percent in 2014.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said in its October monthly report that demand would average 89.74 million barrels per day (mbpd) in 2013 and 90.78 mbpd in 2014.

It kept its economic growth forecasts at 2.9 percent this year and 3.5 percent in 2014, “although ongoing developments regarding the budget stand-off in the US require close monitoring,” OPEC said.

OPEC, pumping about 35 percent of the world’s oil supply, revised upwards its oil demand forecasts for OECD members of the Americas and Europe after an “improvement of macroeconomic indicators”.

“Overall, oil demand (in Europe) continues to shrink relative to the previous year,” OPEC said, but “at a slower pace than in previous months, hinting at some improvements in the economy, particularly as the region is now officially out of recession.”

It tweaked lower its forecast for the Asia-Pacific region because of a switch to coal and gas, lacklustre economic signals and reduced subsidies in some countries.